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Possibility of Aurora Oct 30/31

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2021 10:07 am
by petemn2004
Per Spaceweather.com there is a possibility of aurora on October 30/31:

"GEOMAGNETIC STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters say there is an 85% chance of geomagnetic storms on Oct. 30th when a CME [Coronal Mass Ejection] is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. It could be a strong storm, category G3, which means auroras could descend to mid-latitudes--places like Kansas, Nebraska, Oregon, Virginia. The CME's arrival time is uncertain; estimates range from midday on Oct. 30th to the early hours of Oct. 31."

https://www.spaceweather.com/

Re: Possibility of Aurora Oct 30/31

Posted: Sat Oct 30, 2021 10:04 pm
by Deane Clark
The forecast isn’t looking good for tonight.
59DFAEAB-AE39-4F5B-B69C-823FBC492E00.jpeg

Re: Possibility of Aurora Oct 30/31

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2021 11:58 am
by petemn2004
It was a no show. I got up a 4 AM and it was clear but no aurora.

From Spaceweather.com ---

"WEAK CME IMPACT AND GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A CME hit Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 31st at ~10:00 UT. The impact was weak--a far cry from the "big hit" we expected--and it sparked an equally weak G1-class geomagnetic storm. "

Re: Possibility of Aurora Oct 30/31

Posted: Sun Oct 31, 2021 11:42 pm
by Deane Clark
At least Lisa Meadows on channel 4 was kind enough to explain tonight why this turned out to be a bust.